AI Work Index

Structural pressure

2%

Very Low Risk

Likely range

1–4%

Research and development manager

Managers · SGD 10,896/mo (142% above median)

This model suggests AI is more likely to enhance Research and development manager than replace it. moderate exposure, but strong human bottlenecks mean AI augments rather than substitutes.

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Augmented High Confidence
University Degree Higher risk than 9% of occupations
Pressure 2%
Market 65%
Confidence 79%
Human Moat High
Evidence
3/4 sources Sources diverge

Why This Score

AI Capability Overlap Increases risk

36% of tasks overlap with current AI

Human Coordination Reduces risk

92% human advantage from judgment & presence

Local Hiring Demand Reduces risk

65% demand buffer from SG labour market

Observed AI Adoption Reduces risk

AI usage 16pp below theoretical exposure

These factors combine multiplicatively — larger bars do not mean proportionally larger contributions to the final score.

Net Displacement Risk 2%

Exposure × (1 − Bottleneck) × Market Modifier. How this works

Tasks AI can handle

Market research summaries, competitive analysis, user feedback synthesis, roadmap documentation, and metrics dashboard generation.

Where humans stay essential

Vision-setting, prioritization under ambiguity, stakeholder alignment, go-to-market judgment, and making trade-offs between competing business objectives.

Skills to focus on

Strategic PrioritizationCross-Functional LeadershipCustomer IntuitionBusiness Model Thinking

Common tools in similar work

Adobe IllustratorAdobe PhotoshopApache CassandraEpic Systems

Derived from matched O*NET technology-skill profiles.

Singapore Reality

Current Singapore signal

Labour now, industry footprint, and a directional 12-month read.

Weak market

The Professionals, Managers, Executives & Technicians labour market is weak. Vacancy rate is 3.1% and was essentially flat versus last quarter. recruitment is running above resignation (1.5% vs 0.9%). employer pressure is low.

Vacancy rate

3.1%

↓ 3.1% year-on-year

Hiring balance

1.5%

recruit vs 0.9% resign

Retrenchment

1.5 per 1,000

Low incidence

Professionals, Managers, Executives & Technicians data · Q4 2025 full

Top Industries

Where this work is concentrated

Wholesale & Retail Trade

83.7K

↓ cooling

Top 5 vacancy sector

21%

Financial & Insurance Services

62.3K

↓ cooling

15%

Professional Services

43.0K

→ stable

Top 4 vacancy sector

11%

Industry vacancy overlays use the latest published detailed cross-tab (2025 QQ), which can lag the main labour monitor.

12-Month Outlook

Rule-based, not a prediction

Stable
Displacement Resilient
Augmentation At Risk
Demand Watch
Wage Pressure Resilient

Methodology

What To Do Next

Offset potential: Medium Separate from the core score. This estimates how much demand, redesign room, and transition support could cushion pressure.

Research and development manager has some offset potential, but it depends on task redesign holding up in practice and on workers clearing the main switching frictions.

Demand support: Low Transition support: Medium Reallocation room: High Switching friction: High

What helps

  • A meaningful share of the work can likely be reorganized around AI rather than removed outright.

What could slow it down

  • Current demand support is thin, so offsets may take longer to show up.

See how this compares to similar occupations

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Structural AI exposure scores, not employment predictions. Methodology

V4.1 structural score · 2024 wages · Q4 2025 full live monitor · 562 occupations · 88 roles

Latest official labour release: MOM Labour Market Report Q4 2025 (2026-03-20)

Made by Kirill So · Built with Claude & GPT
MIT Licensed · Open Source · Structural release V4.1 · Updated 2026-03-20