Structural pressure
11%
Low RiskLikely range
6–16%
Van driver
Plant & Machine Operators & Assemblers · SGD 2,148/mo (52% below median)
This model suggests AI is unlikely to significantly disrupt Van driver. low exposure with limited overlap across core tasks.
Why This Score
21% of tasks overlap with current AI
37% human advantage from judgment & presence
59% demand buffer from SG labour market
AI usage 3pp below theoretical exposure
Listed on JiD — active government demand recognition
These factors combine multiplicatively — larger bars do not mean proportionally larger contributions to the final score.
Exposure × (1 − Bottleneck) × Market Modifier. Band stability: watch. How this works
Tasks AI can handle
Predictive maintenance scheduling, safety checklist automation, inventory management, and remote monitoring via sensors.
Where humans stay essential
Physical dexterity on job sites, real-time environmental adaptation, operating heavy equipment safely, and handling unexpected on-site conditions.
Skills to focus on
Common tools in similar work
Derived from matched O*NET technology-skill profiles.
Singapore Reality
Current Singapore signal
Labour now, industry footprint, and a directional 12-month read.
The Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers labour market is strong. Vacancy rate is 2.8% and rose by 0.8 points from last quarter. recruitment is running above resignation (2.4% vs 1.5%). employer pressure is low.
Vacancy rate
2.8%
↑ 16.7% year-on-year
Hiring balance
2.4%
recruit vs 1.5% resign
Retrenchment
1.5 per 1,000
Low incidence
Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers data · Q4 2025 full
Top Industries
Where this work is concentrated
Transportation & Storage
84.7K
↑ hiring
Wholesale & Retail Trade
11.5K
↓ cooling
Top 5 vacancy sector
Administrative & Support Services
3.0K
↓ cooling
Industry vacancy overlays use the latest published detailed cross-tab (2025 QQ), which can lag the main labour monitor.
12-Month Outlook
Rule-based, not a prediction
What To Do Next
Van driver still has credible offset paths. Demand persists, adjacent moves look viable, and enough of the work appears reorganizable around AI.
What helps
- Demand still persists through current labour or hiring signals.
- Nearby moves and published transition support look reasonably strong.
Chauffeur
easy transition · 73% match
Ambulance driver
easy transition · 72% match
Parking valet
easy transition · 71% match
Excavating/Trench digging machine operator
moderate transition · 66% match
Crane/Hoist operator (excluding port)
moderate transition · 66% match
Motorcycle delivery man
moderate transition · 65% match
Bus driver
moderate transition · 64% match
Airport mobile equipment operator
moderate transition · 64% match
See how this compares to similar occupations
Compare with... →Evidence
Crosswalk: direct · SSOC 83223
Jobs in Demand: prefix match
Anthropic: -3pp vs theory
Raw Scores
AIOE -0.632 · θ 0.659 · C-AIOE -0.499
Stability
watch · Optimistic 6% (Low) · Pessimistic 16% (Moderate)
Confidence
89% · Crosswalk 1.00 · Market 0.75 · Fresh 0.84
Wage (SGD/mo)
25th 1,500 · Median 2,148 · 75th 2,886